Covered-Call Premium Report โ€” Alan Fatal Portfolio

Generated 2026-06-12 23:30 PT ยท 19 holdings

Premise: Alan owns the underlying and writes covered calls. Engine prioritizes:

  1. IV richness โ€” implied > realized vol means premium-selling has positive edge.
  2. Strike near resistance โ€” best probability of OTM expiry without capping rallies.
  3. Earnings-calendar awareness โ€” avoid writing through earnings unless intended.
  4. Composite long-thesis โ€” keep writing on names the engine still likes long.

Portfolio-level โ€” premium-selling priority

Sorted by IV-rank ร— IV/RV ratio (premium edge ร— premium richness).

# Sym Spot Long thesis IV-rank IV/RV 30d ann.yield DTEโ†’earn Flag
1 TRX $0.93 LONG โœ“ 74 1.72 84.1% 32d IV-RICH โœ…, edge++
2 QQQ $721.34 LONG โœ“ 100 1.13 11.6% โ€” IV-RICH โœ…
3 GOOGL $359.68 LONG โœ“ 78 1.33 19.0% 41d IV-RICH โœ…, edge++
4 MSFT $390.74 short โš  94 0.94 21.6% 47d IV-RICH โœ…
5 AAPL $291.13 neutral 79 1.11 10.6% 48d IV-RICH โœ…
6 GLW $179.20 LONG โœ“ 97 0.88 88.0% 46d IV-RICH โœ…, NEG edge
7 ARM $380.81 LONG โœ“ 100 0.78 118.6% 47d IV-RICH โœ…, NEG edge
8 TSLA $406.43 short โš  73 1.01 47.1% 40d IV-RICH โœ…
9 MRVL $279.70 LONG โœ“ 100 0.70 124.8% 76d IV-RICH โœ…, NEG edge
10 NVDA $205.19 neutral 73 0.90 29.5% 75d IV-RICH โœ…, NEG edge
11 CRWD $682.80 LONG โœ“ 73 0.79 50.0% 81d IV-RICH โœ…, NEG edge
12 AVGO $382.07 LONG โœ“ 77 0.75 42.4% 83d IV-RICH โœ…, NEG edge
13 AMD $511.57 LONG โœ“ 62 0.93 80.6% 53d โ€”
14 HOOD $93.19 LONG โœ“ 57 0.83 68.9% 47d NEG edge
15 IBM $272.24 short โš  73 0.59 38.8% 40d IV-RICH โœ…, NEG edge
16 DELL $395.57 LONG โœ“ 77 0.52 80.2% 83d IV-RICH โœ…, NEG edge
17 PLTR $127.99 short โš  46 0.83 45.6% 52d NEG edge
18 CRWV $100.55 short โš  30 1.13 99.5% โ€” โ€”
19 ORCL $184.13 neutral 49 0.67 52.9% 89d NEG edge

Per-stock detail

TRX ยท spot $0.93

TRX: long candidate (composite +0.09). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLB: stock -32.6% โˆ’ sector +9.8% = -42.4% (laggard)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.53)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=0.9)); value + (fwd P/E 5.3 (earnings yield 18.8%)). Vol is rich โ€” credit structures (short premium, credit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.09 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $1.58 (-41.1% from spot)
52-week high $2.18 (-57.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol 62%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 106%
IV-rank vs 1y 74 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 1.72 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)
Next earnings 2026-07-14 (32d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-18 6 $1.00 +7.5% $0.05 โšช stale 5.38% 327.1% 106% 582
2026-07-17 35 $1.00 +7.5% $0.08 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 8.06% 84.1% 91% 2,991

Recommendation:


QQQ ยท spot $721.34

QQQ: long candidate (composite +0.25). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.0)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.31)); dividend + (div yield 38.0%); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +9.2% (golden cross; px>MAs)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.25 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $746.16 (-3.3% from spot)
52-week high $746.16 (-3.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol 27%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 30%
IV-rank vs 1y 100 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 1.13 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $757.00 +4.9% $2.40 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 0.33% 8.7% 24% 243
2026-07-10 28 $757.00 +4.9% $6.44 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 0.89% 11.6% 24% 66
2026-07-24 42 $757.00 +4.9% $10.23 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.42% 12.3% 25% 17

Recommendation:


GOOGL ยท spot $359.68

GOOGL: long candidate (composite +0.39). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.2)); sector_rs + (vs XLC: stock +17.2% โˆ’ sector -1.0% = +18.2% (leader)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.35)); yield_curve + (10Y-2Y -3.17% (inverted), sector=Communication Services).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.39 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $402.38 (-10.6% from spot)
52-week high $402.38 (-10.6% from spot)
20-day realized vol 26%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 34%
IV-rank vs 1y 78 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 1.33 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)
Next earnings 2026-07-23 (41d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $377.50 +5.0% $2.88 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 0.80% 20.9% 33% 46
2026-07-10 28 $380.00 +5.6% $5.25 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.46% 19.0% 33% 264
2026-07-24 42 $380.00 +5.6% $8.78 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 2.44% 21.2% 36% 154

Recommendation:


MSFT ยท spot $390.74

MSFT: short candidate (composite -0.21). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock +0.7% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = -33.0% (laggard)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.1)); insider_trades - (90d net $-1031k (0 buys/1 sells)); pb_ratio - (P/B 7.2 (rich)).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.21 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance) $460.52 (-15.2% from spot)
52-week high $538.66 (-27.5% from spot)
20-day realized vol 37%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 35%
IV-rank vs 1y 94 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.94 (NEUTRAL)
Next earnings 2026-07-29 (47d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $410.00 +4.9% $3.25 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 0.83% 21.7% 33% 1,607
2026-07-10 28 $410.00 +4.9% $6.47 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.66% 21.6% 32% 491
2026-07-24 42 $410.00 +4.9% $9.88 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 2.53% 22.0% 34% 558

Recommendation:


AAPL ยท spot $291.13

AAPL: long candidate (composite +0.01). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock +17.0% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = -16.6% (laggard)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.1)); insider_trades - (90d net $-87532k (0 buys/5 sells)); pb_ratio - (P/B 40.0 (rich)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.01 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance) $315.20 (-7.6% from spot)
52-week high $315.20 (-7.6% from spot)
20-day realized vol 24%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 26%
IV-rank vs 1y 79 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 1.11 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)
Next earnings 2026-07-30 (48d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $305.00 +4.8% $1.07 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 0.37% 9.6% 24% 1,528
2026-07-10 28 $305.00 +4.8% $2.37 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 0.81% 10.6% 23% 1,963
2026-07-24 42 $305.00 +4.8% $4.15 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.43% 12.4% 24% 228

Recommendation:


GLW ยท spot $179.20

GLW: long candidate (composite +0.19). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.2)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.44)); insider_trades - (90d net $-29906k (0 buys/4 sells)); momentum + (6-mo return +128.0%).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.19 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $207.96 (-13.8% from spot)
52-week high $207.96 (-13.8% from spot)
20-day realized vol 89%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 78%
IV-rank vs 1y 97 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.88 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-07-28 (46d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $187.50 +4.6% $7.15 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.99% 104.0% 75% 49
2026-07-10 28 $187.50 +4.6% $12.10 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 6.75% 88.0% 79% 23
2026-07-24 42 $187.50 +4.6% $15.60 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 8.71% 75.7% 79% 15

Recommendation:


ARM ยท spot $380.81

ARM: long candidate (composite +0.22). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +193.3% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = +159.7% (leader)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=3.8)); insider_trades - (90d net $-10568k (0 buys/6 sells)); vix_regime + (VIX 18 (normal), ฮฒ=3.8).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.22 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $411.83 (-7.5% from spot)
52-week high $411.83 (-7.5% from spot)
20-day realized vol 135%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 106%
IV-rank vs 1y 100 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.78 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-07-29 (47d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $400.00 +5.0% $22.88 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 6.01% 156.6% 104% 366
2026-07-10 28 $400.00 +5.0% $34.65 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 9.10% 118.6% 101% 85
2026-07-24 42 $400.00 +5.0% $44.88 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 11.78% 102.4% 103% 32

Recommendation:


TSLA ยท spot $406.43

TSLA: short candidate (composite -0.15). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.8)); yield_curve - (10Y-2Y -3.17% (inverted), sector=Consumer Cyclical); insider_trades - (90d net $-12383k (0 buys/18 sells)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.23)).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.15 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance) $445.27 (-8.7% from spot)
52-week high $489.88 (-17.0% from spot)
20-day realized vol 50%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 51%
IV-rank vs 1y 73 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 1.01 (NEUTRAL)
Next earnings 2026-07-22 (40d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $427.50 +5.2% $7.95 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.96% 51.0% 50% 281
2026-07-10 28 $425.00 +4.6% $14.70 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.62% 47.1% 50% 585
2026-07-24 42 $425.00 +4.6% $21.02 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 5.17% 45.0% 52% 79

Recommendation:


MRVL ยท spot $279.70

MRVL: long candidate (composite +0.25). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +212.6% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = +178.9% (leader)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=2.3)); insider_trades - (90d net $-2059k (0 buys/1 sells)); momentum + (6-mo return +234.4%).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.25 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $316.43 (-11.6% from spot)
52-week high $316.43 (-11.6% from spot)
20-day realized vol 153%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 108%
IV-rank vs 1y 100 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.70 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-08-27 (76d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $292.50 +4.6% $18.12 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 6.48% 168.9% 108% 66
2026-07-10 28 $292.50 +4.6% $26.77 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 9.57% 124.8% 104% 51
2026-07-24 42 $292.50 +4.6% $34.45 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 12.32% 107.0% 105% 141

Recommendation:


NVDA ยท spot $205.19

NVDA: long candidate (composite +0.02). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=2.2)); sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock +15.0% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = -18.6% (laggard)); insider_trades - (90d net $-263083k (0 buys/7 sells)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.22)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.02 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance) $235.47 (-12.9% from spot)
52-week high $235.47 (-12.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol 44%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 39%
IV-rank vs 1y 73 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.90 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-08-26 (75d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $215.00 +4.8% $2.30 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.12% 29.2% 37% 5,751
2026-07-10 28 $215.00 +4.8% $4.65 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 2.27% 29.5% 38% 2,262
2026-07-24 42 $215.00 +4.8% $6.88 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.35% 29.1% 40% 1,893

Recommendation:


CRWD ยท spot $682.80

CRWD: long candidate (composite +0.21). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +59.5% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = +25.8% (leader)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.2)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.48)); insider_trades - (90d net $-19806k (0 buys/119 sells)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.21 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $782.17 (-12.7% from spot)
52-week high $782.17 (-12.7% from spot)
20-day realized vol 66%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 52%
IV-rank vs 1y 73 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.79 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-09-01 (81d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $715.00 +4.7% $14.92 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 2.19% 57.0% 52% 50
2026-07-10 28 $715.00 +4.7% $26.18 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.83% 50.0% 52% 19
2026-07-24 42 $715.00 +4.7% $36.22 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 5.31% 46.1% 54% 3

Recommendation:


AVGO ยท spot $382.07

AVGO: long candidate (composite +0.09). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.4)); sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock +19.7% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = -14.0% (laggard)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.27)); quality + (ROE 37%, margin 39%, rev growth 48%).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.10 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $481.57 (-20.7% from spot)
52-week high $481.57 (-20.7% from spot)
20-day realized vol 67%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 50%
IV-rank vs 1y 77 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.75 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-09-03 (83d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $400.00 +4.7% $7.25 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.90% 49.5% 49% 1,190
2026-07-10 28 $400.00 +4.7% $12.43 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.25% 42.4% 48% 1,344
2026-07-24 42 $400.00 +4.7% $17.25 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 4.51% 39.2% 49% 245

Recommendation:


AMD ยท spot $511.57

AMD: long candidate (composite +0.17). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +149.2% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = +115.6% (leader)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=2.5)); insider_trades - (90d net $-72151k (0 buys/34 sells)); momentum + (6-mo return +217.2%).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.17 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $542.52 (-5.7% from spot)
52-week high $542.52 (-5.7% from spot)
20-day realized vol 80%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 75%
IV-rank vs 1y 62 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.93 (NEUTRAL)
Next earnings 2026-08-04 (53d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $535.00 +4.6% $20.10 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.93% 102.4% 74% 197
2026-07-10 28 $535.00 +4.6% $31.65 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 6.19% 80.6% 73% 273
2026-07-24 42 $535.00 +4.6% $42.35 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 8.28% 71.9% 75% 46

Recommendation:


HOOD ยท spot $93.19

HOOD: long candidate (composite +0.12). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=2.3)); sector_rs + (vs XLF: stock +25.7% โˆ’ sector +9.4% = +16.2% (leader)); yield_curve - (10Y-2Y -3.17% (inverted), sector=Financial Services); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.27)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.12 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $94.30 (-1.2% from spot)
52-week high $152.46 (-38.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol 82%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 68%
IV-rank vs 1y 57 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio 0.83 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-07-29 (47d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $98.00 +5.2% $2.97 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.19% 83.1% 67% 309
2026-07-10 28 $98.00 +5.2% $4.93 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 5.28% 68.9% 67% 150
2026-07-24 42 $97.00 +4.1% $6.93 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 7.43% 64.6% 68% 42

Recommendation:


IBM ยท spot $272.24

IBM: short candidate (composite -0.14). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock +9.5% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = -24.1% (laggard)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=0.7)); pb_ratio - (P/B 7.9 (rich)); dividend + (div yield 241.0%).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.14 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance) $329.23 (-17.3% from spot)
52-week high $329.23 (-17.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol 79%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 47%
IV-rank vs 1y 73 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.59 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-07-22 (40d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $285.00 +4.7% $4.18 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.53% 40.0% 45% 168
2026-07-10 28 $285.00 +4.7% $8.10 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 2.98% 38.8% 47% 30
2026-07-24 42 $285.00 +4.7% $13.43 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 4.93% 42.9% 51% 29

Recommendation:


DELL ยท spot $395.57

DELL: long candidate (composite +0.36). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +153.1% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = +119.5% (leader)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.4)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.31)); insider_trades - (90d net $-2323k (0 buys/50 sells)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.36 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $465.96 (-15.1% from spot)
52-week high $465.96 (-15.1% from spot)
20-day realized vol 143%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 75%
IV-rank vs 1y 77 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio 0.52 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-09-03 (83d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $415.00 +4.9% $15.20 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.84% 100.2% 75% 112
2026-07-10 28 $415.00 +4.9% $24.35 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 6.16% 80.2% 74% 6
2026-07-24 42 $415.00 +4.9% $32.00 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 8.09% 70.3% 75% 67

Recommendation:


PLTR ยท spot $127.99

PLTR: short candidate (composite -0.20). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -17.8% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = -51.4% (laggard)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.5)); insider_trades - (90d net $-506k (0 buys/2 sells)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.22)).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.20 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance) $160.84 (-20.4% from spot)
52-week high $207.18 (-38.2% from spot)
20-day realized vol 61%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 50%
IV-rank vs 1y 46 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio 0.83 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-08-03 (52d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $134.00 +4.7% $2.47 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 1.93% 50.4% 49% 389
2026-07-10 28 $134.00 +4.7% $4.47 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 3.50% 45.6% 50% 53
2026-07-24 42 $134.00 +4.7% $6.15 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 4.81% 41.8% 51% 20

Recommendation:


CRWV ยท spot $100.55

CRWV: short candidate (composite -0.10). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.0)); insider_trades - (90d net $-55886k (0 buys/64 sells)); sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock +24.7% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = -9.0% (laggard)); pb_ratio - (P/B 11.0 (rich)).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.10 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance) $137.98 (-27.1% from spot)
52-week high $183.58 (-45.2% from spot)
20-day realized vol 81%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 91%
IV-rank vs 1y 30 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio 1.13 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)
Next earnings 2026-05-07 (-36d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $106.00 +5.4% $4.83 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 4.80% 125.1% 90% 220
2026-07-10 28 $106.00 +5.4% $7.68 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 7.63% 99.5% 89% 79
2026-07-24 42 $106.00 +5.4% $9.88 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 9.82% 85.3% 89% 44

Recommendation:


ORCL ยท spot $184.13

ORCL: short candidate (composite -0.01). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 742, 50MA 723, RV30 14%, ฮฒ=1.7)); sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock +18.8% โˆ’ sector +33.7% = -14.9% (laggard)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.37)); momentum - (6-mo return -36.3%).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.01 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance) $248.15 (-25.8% from spot)
52-week high $325.76 (-43.5% from spot)
20-day realized vol 83%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 56%
IV-rank vs 1y 49 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio 0.67 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-09-09 (89d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-06-26 14 $192.50 +4.5% $4.53 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 2.46% 64.1% 55% 409
2026-07-10 28 $192.50 +4.5% $7.47 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 4.06% 52.9% 54% 14
2026-07-24 42 $195.00 +5.9% $8.70 ๐ŸŸข LIVE 4.72% 41.1% 52% 1,605

Recommendation:


Portfolio aggregate

Aggregate Value
Avg 30-day annualized yield 58.6%
Median IV-rank 74 / 100
Names with IV-rank > 60 (premium rich) 15 / 19
Names with IV-rank < 30 (premium thin) 0 / 19
Names with IV/RV > 1.1 (positive edge) 5 / 19
Names within 14 days of earnings 0 / 19