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Covered-Call Premium Report — Alan Fatal Portfolio

Generated 2026-08-14 23:30 PT · 19 holdings

Premise: Alan owns the underlying and writes covered calls. Engine prioritizes:

IV richness — implied > realized vol means premium-selling has positive edge.
Strike near resistance — best probability of OTM expiry without capping rallies.
Earnings-calendar awareness — avoid writing through earnings unless intended.
Composite long-thesis — keep writing on names the engine still likes long.

Portfolio-level — premium-selling priority

Sorted by IV-rank × IV/RV ratio (premium edge × premium richness).

#	Sym	Spot	Long thesis	IV-rank	IV/RV	30d ann.yield	DTE→earn	Flag
1	CRWD	$216.95	LONG ✓	100	1.45	56.8%	12d	EARN ⚠, IV-RICH ✅, edge++
2	TRX	$1.12	LONG ✓	99	1.47	46.6%	—	IV-RICH ✅, edge++
3	NVDA	$225.16	LONG ✓	99	1.17	32.7%	12d	EARN ⚠, IV-RICH ✅
4	MRVL	$222.02	LONG ✓	69	0.98	85.3%	13d	EARN ⚠
5	QQQ	$731.07	LONG ✓	72	0.94	4.4%	—	IV-RICH ✅
6	AAPL	$305.93	LONG ✓	57	0.76	11.9%	76d	NEG edge
7	DELL	$490.81	LONG ✓	54	0.77	86.7%	20d	NEG edge
8	GLW	$165.99	LONG ✓	57	0.72	61.8%	74d	NEG edge
9	IBM	$234.32	neutral	31	1.23	25.7%	68d	—
10	ARM	$279.44	LONG ✓	44	0.74	69.4%	82d	NEG edge
11	GOOGL	$345.90	LONG ✓	48	0.64	14.8%	75d	NEG edge
12	AVGO	$392.99	LONG ✓	29	1.02	42.4%	19d	iv-thin
13	ORCL	$150.52	short ⚠	32	0.84	77.1%	27d	NEG edge
14	AMD	$514.39	LONG ✓	31	0.69	56.1%	81d	NEG edge
15	TSLA	$342.27	short ⚠	28	0.66	31.0%	68d	iv-thin, NEG edge
16	HOOD	$95.56	LONG ✓	15	1.07	58.3%	82d	iv-thin
17	MSFT	$495.40	LONG ✓	36	0.43	12.0%	75d	NEG edge
18	PLTR	$174.04	LONG ✓	28	0.38	37.8%	80d	iv-thin, NEG edge
19	CRWV	$105.26	neutral	5	0.53	84.8%	89d	iv-thin, NEG edge

Per-stock detail

CRWD · spot $216.95

CRWD: long candidate (composite +0.23). Drivers: news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.63)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +33.5% − sector +7.4% = +26.1% (leader)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.2)); search_interest - (7d avg 13 vs 90d 19 (-34%)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.23 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$225.53 (-3.8% from spot)
52-week high	$225.53 (-3.8% from spot)
20-day realized vol	47%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	68%
IV-rank vs 1y	100 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio	1.45 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)
Next earnings	2026-08-26 (12d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$230.00	+6.0%	$6.42	🟢 LIVE	2.96%	77.2%	68%	540
2026-09-11	28	$230.00	+6.0%	$9.45	🟢 LIVE	4.36%	56.8%	61%	152
2026-09-25	42	$230.00	+6.0%	$12.30	🟢 LIVE	5.67%	49.3%	60%	24

Recommendation:

✅ Sell 2026-08-28 $230 call (~77% ann. yield, IV-rank 100, long thesis intact).
⚠ Earnings in 12d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $230 sits at/above 60d high $226 — buffer in resistance.

TRX · spot $1.12

TRX: long candidate (composite +0.24). Drivers: news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.53)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=0.9)); value + (fwd P/E 4.9 (earnings yield 20.3%)); yield_curve - (10Y-2Y -3.23% (inverted), sector=Basic Materials).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.24 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$1.15 (-2.6% from spot)
52-week high	$2.18 (-48.6% from spot)
20-day realized vol	87%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	128%
IV-rank vs 1y	99 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio	1.47 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)
Next earnings	2026-07-15 (-30d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-21	7	$1.50	+33.9%	$0.04	⚪ stale	3.57%	186.2%	194%	3
2026-09-18	35	$1.50	+33.9%	$0.05	⚪ stale	4.46%	46.6%	88%	245

Recommendation:

✅ Sell 2026-08-21 $2 call (~186% ann. yield, IV-rank 99, long thesis intact).
📍 Strike $2 sits at/above 60d high $1 — buffer in resistance.

NVDA · spot $225.16

NVDA: long candidate (composite +0.28). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=2.2)); search_interest - (7d avg 20 vs 90d 26 (-23%)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.31)); vix_regime + (VIX 14 (low), β=2.2).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.28 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$225.30 (-0.1% from spot)
52-week high	$235.47 (-4.4% from spot)
20-day realized vol	38%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	45%
IV-rank vs 1y	99 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio	1.17 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)
Next earnings	2026-08-26 (12d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$235.00	+4.4%	$3.85	🟢 LIVE	1.71%	44.6%	44%	15,341
2026-09-11	28	$235.00	+4.4%	$5.65	🟢 LIVE	2.51%	32.7%	39%	1,915
2026-09-25	42	$235.00	+4.4%	$7.55	🟢 LIVE	3.35%	29.1%	39%	1,010

Recommendation:

✅ Sell 2026-08-28 $235 call (~45% ann. yield, IV-rank 99, long thesis intact).
⚠ Earnings in 12d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $235 sits at/above 60d high $225 — buffer in resistance.

MRVL · spot $222.02

MRVL: long candidate (composite +0.42). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=2.3)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +18.9% − sector +7.4% = +11.5% (leader)); vix_regime + (VIX 14 (low), β=2.3); insider_trades - (90d net $-3601k (0 buys/2 sells)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.42 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$316.35 (-29.8% from spot)
52-week high	$316.35 (-29.8% from spot)
20-day realized vol	88%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	87%
IV-rank vs 1y	69 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio	0.98 (NEUTRAL)
Next earnings	2026-08-27 (13d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$235.00	+5.8%	$9.80	🟢 LIVE	4.41%	115.1%	87%	410
2026-09-11	28	$235.00	+5.8%	$14.52	🟢 LIVE	6.54%	85.3%	81%	131
2026-09-25	42	$235.00	+5.8%	$18.08	🟢 LIVE	8.14%	70.8%	78%	22

Recommendation:

✅ Sell 2026-08-28 $235 call (~115% ann. yield, IV-rank 69, long thesis intact).
⚠ Earnings in 13d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $235 is 25.7% below 60d high $316 — could be tested on a rally.

QQQ · spot $731.07

QQQ: long candidate (composite +0.33). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.0)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.31)); finra_short_vol + (3d short 68% vs 17d 66% (extreme — squeeze setup)); dividend + (div yield 38.0%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.33 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$745.34 (-1.9% from spot)
52-week high	$745.34 (-1.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol	24%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	22%
IV-rank vs 1y	72 / 100 (rich)
IV / RV ratio	0.94 (NEUTRAL)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$770.00	+5.3%	$0.46	🟢 LIVE	0.06%	1.6%	16%	1,282
2026-09-11	28	$770.00	+5.3%	$2.45	🟢 LIVE	0.34%	4.4%	17%	826
2026-09-30	47	$768.00	+5.1%	$6.46	🟢 LIVE	0.88%	6.9%	18%	57

Recommendation:

✅ Sell 2026-09-30 $768 call (~7% ann. yield, IV-rank 72, long thesis intact).
📍 Strike $768 sits at/above 60d high $745 — buffer in resistance.

AAPL · spot $305.93

AAPL: long candidate (composite +0.14). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.1)); insider_trades - (90d net $-16028k (0 buys/3 sells)); pb_ratio - (P/B 39.1 (rich)); dividend + (div yield 39.0%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.14 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$339.79 (-10.0% from spot)
52-week high	$339.79 (-10.0% from spot)
20-day realized vol	34%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	26%
IV-rank vs 1y	57 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	0.76 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-10-29 (76d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$320.00	+4.6%	$1.01	🟢 LIVE	0.33%	8.6%	22%	4,066
2026-09-11	28	$320.00	+4.6%	$2.80	🟢 LIVE	0.92%	11.9%	23%	1,568
2026-09-25	42	$320.00	+4.6%	$4.45	🟢 LIVE	1.45%	12.6%	24%	368

Recommendation:

✅ Sell 2026-09-25 $320 call (~13% ann. yield, IV-rank 57, long thesis intact).
📍 Strike $320 is 5.8% below 60d high $340 — could be tested on a rally.

DELL · spot $490.81

DELL: long candidate (composite +0.40). Drivers: news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.62)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +102.4% − sector +7.4% = +95.0% (leader)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.4)); search_interest - (7d avg 46 vs 90d 67 (-32%)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.40 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$494.51 (-0.7% from spot)
52-week high	$494.51 (-0.7% from spot)
20-day realized vol	87%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	68%
IV-rank vs 1y	54 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	0.77 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-09-03 (20d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$515.00	+4.9%	$15.65	🟢 LIVE	3.19%	83.1%	66%	210
2026-09-11	28	$520.00	+5.9%	$32.62	🟢 LIVE	6.65%	86.7%	82%	16
2026-09-25	42	$520.00	+5.9%	$40.85	🟢 LIVE	8.32%	72.3%	80%	5

Recommendation:

✅ Sell 2026-09-11 $520 call (~87% ann. yield, IV-rank 54, long thesis intact).
⚠ Earnings in 20d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $520 sits at/above 60d high $495 — buffer in resistance.

GLW · spot $165.99

GLW: long candidate (composite +0.28). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.2)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.49)); sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -8.0% − sector +7.4% = -15.4% (laggard)); momentum + (6-mo return +100.8%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.28 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$255.69 (-35.1% from spot)
52-week high	$255.69 (-35.1% from spot)
20-day realized vol	88%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	64%
IV-rank vs 1y	57 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	0.72 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-10-27 (74d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$175.00	+5.4%	$4.72	🟢 LIVE	2.85%	74.2%	64%	515
2026-09-11	28	$175.00	+5.4%	$7.88	🟢 LIVE	4.74%	61.8%	63%	105
2026-09-25	42	$175.00	+5.4%	$11.38	🟢 LIVE	6.85%	59.6%	67%	120

Recommendation:

✅ Sell 2026-08-28 $175 call (~74% ann. yield, IV-rank 57, long thesis intact).
📍 Strike $175 is 31.6% below 60d high $256 — could be tested on a rally.

IBM · spot $234.32

IBM: long candidate (composite +0.03). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=0.7)); search_interest - (7d avg 40 vs 90d 47 (-15%)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.21)); pb_ratio - (P/B 7.7 (rich)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.03 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance)	$326.89 (-28.3% from spot)
52-week high	$326.89 (-28.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol	31%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	38%
IV-rank vs 1y	31 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	1.23 (POSITIVE edge for sellers)
Next earnings	2026-10-21 (68d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$245.00	+4.6%	$2.25	🟢 LIVE	0.96%	25.1%	35%	315
2026-09-11	28	$245.00	+4.6%	$4.62	🟢 LIVE	1.97%	25.7%	35%	57
2026-09-25	42	$245.00	+4.6%	$7.03	🟢 LIVE	3.00%	26.1%	38%	265

Recommendation:

➡ Sell 2026-09-25 $245 for 26% ann. yield (composite +0.03, IV-rank 31).
📍 Strike $245 is 25.1% below 60d high $327 — could be tested on a rally.

ARM · spot $279.44

ARM: long candidate (composite +0.23). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=3.8)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.39)); vix_regime + (VIX 14 (low), β=3.8); insider_trades - (90d net $-9232k (0 buys/5 sells)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.23 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$439.46 (-36.4% from spot)
52-week high	$439.46 (-36.4% from spot)
20-day realized vol	95%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	70%
IV-rank vs 1y	44 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	0.74 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-11-04 (82d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$295.00	+5.6%	$9.30	🟢 LIVE	3.33%	86.8%	71%	58
2026-09-11	28	$295.00	+5.6%	$14.88	🟢 LIVE	5.32%	69.4%	69%	33
2026-09-25	42	$295.00	+5.6%	$20.12	🟢 LIVE	7.20%	62.6%	70%	3

Recommendation:

➡ Sell 2026-08-28 $295 for 87% ann. yield (composite +0.23, IV-rank 44).
📍 Strike $295 is 32.9% below 60d high $439 — could be tested on a rally.

GOOGL · spot $345.90

GOOGL: long candidate (composite +0.15). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.2)); yield_curve + (10Y-2Y -3.23% (inverted), sector=Communication Services); insider_trades - (90d net $-6243k (0 buys/4 sells)); search_interest - (7d avg 33 vs 90d 41 (-19%)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.15 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$389.90 (-11.3% from spot)
52-week high	$402.38 (-14.0% from spot)
20-day realized vol	48%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	31%
IV-rank vs 1y	48 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	0.64 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-10-28 (75d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$365.00	+5.5%	$1.56	🟢 LIVE	0.45%	11.8%	28%	1,199
2026-09-11	28	$365.00	+5.5%	$3.93	🟢 LIVE	1.13%	14.8%	29%	149
2026-09-25	42	$365.00	+5.5%	$6.45	🟢 LIVE	1.86%	16.2%	31%	62

Recommendation:

➡ Sell 2026-09-25 $365 for 16% ann. yield (composite +0.15, IV-rank 48).
📍 Strike $365 is 6.4% below 60d high $390 — could be tested on a rally.

AVGO · spot $392.99

AVGO: long candidate (composite +0.08). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.4)); sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -5.8% − sector +7.4% = -13.2% (laggard)); insider_trades - (90d net $-20840k (0 buys/4 sells)); search_interest - (7d avg 15 vs 90d 19 (-19%)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.09 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$480.81 (-18.3% from spot)
52-week high	$480.81 (-18.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol	43%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	44%
IV-rank vs 1y	29 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	1.02 (NEUTRAL)
Next earnings	2026-09-02 (19d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$415.00	+5.6%	$4.78	🟢 LIVE	1.22%	31.7%	42%	759
2026-09-11	28	$415.00	+5.6%	$12.78	🟢 LIVE	3.25%	42.4%	51%	131
2026-09-25	42	$415.00	+5.6%	$16.55	🟢 LIVE	4.21%	36.6%	50%	17

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 29/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 19d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $415 is 13.7% below 60d high $481 — could be tested on a rally.

ORCL · spot $150.52

ORCL: short candidate (composite -0.09). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -19.7% − sector +7.4% = -27.1% (laggard)); market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.7)); search_interest - (7d avg 17 vs 90d 24 (-27%)); insider_trades - (90d net $-63664k (0 buys/11 sells)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.09 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$247.29 (-39.1% from spot)
52-week high	$324.63 (-53.6% from spot)
20-day realized vol	65%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	55%
IV-rank vs 1y	32 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	0.84 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-09-10 (27d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$157.50	+4.6%	$3.73	🟢 LIVE	2.47%	64.5%	55%	285
2026-09-11	28	$157.50	+4.6%	$8.90	🟢 LIVE	5.91%	77.1%	71%	64
2026-09-25	42	$160.00	+6.3%	$9.85	🟢 LIVE	6.54%	56.9%	67%	2,737

Recommendation:

➡ Sell 2026-09-11 $158 for 77% ann. yield (composite -0.09, IV-rank 32).
⚠ Earnings in 27d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $158 is 36.3% below 60d high $247 — could be tested on a rally.

AMD · spot $514.39

AMD: long candidate (composite +0.21). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=2.5)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.47)); vix_regime + (VIX 14 (low), β=2.5); insider_trades - (90d net $-68k (0 buys/1 sells)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.20 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$580.91 (-11.5% from spot)
52-week high	$580.91 (-11.5% from spot)
20-day realized vol	85%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	58%
IV-rank vs 1y	31 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	0.69 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-11-03 (81d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$540.00	+5.0%	$14.03	🟢 LIVE	2.73%	71.1%	60%	467
2026-09-11	28	$540.00	+5.0%	$22.15	🟢 LIVE	4.31%	56.1%	57%	5,498
2026-09-25	42	$540.00	+5.0%	$29.62	🟢 LIVE	5.76%	50.1%	58%	132

Recommendation:

➡ Sell 2026-08-28 $540 for 71% ann. yield (composite +0.20, IV-rank 31).
📍 Strike $540 is 7.0% below 60d high $581 — could be tested on a rally.

TSLA · spot $342.27

TSLA: short candidate (composite -0.32). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.8)); sector_rs - (vs XLY: stock -18.0% − sector +0.4% = -18.4% (laggard)); search_interest - (7d avg 29 vs 90d 39 (-26%)); vix_regime + (VIX 14 (low), β=1.8).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.32 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$442.10 (-22.6% from spot)
52-week high	$489.88 (-30.1% from spot)
20-day realized vol	63%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	41%
IV-rank vs 1y	28 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.66 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-10-21 (68d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$360.00	+5.2%	$4.25	🟢 LIVE	1.24%	32.4%	40%	2,593
2026-09-11	28	$360.00	+5.2%	$8.15	🟢 LIVE	2.38%	31.0%	40%	730
2026-09-25	42	$360.00	+5.2%	$11.90	🟢 LIVE	3.48%	30.2%	41%	114

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 28/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $360 is 18.6% below 60d high $442 — could be tested on a rally.

HOOD · spot $95.56

HOOD: long candidate (composite +0.14). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=2.3)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.53)); sector_rs + (vs XLF: stock +26.1% − sector +13.0% = +13.2% (leader)); vix_regime + (VIX 14 (low), β=2.3).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.14 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$117.55 (-18.7% from spot)
52-week high	$152.46 (-37.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol	54%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	58%
IV-rank vs 1y	15 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	1.07 (NEUTRAL)
Next earnings	2026-11-04 (82d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$100.00	+4.6%	$2.46	🟢 LIVE	2.57%	67.1%	57%	1,801
2026-09-11	28	$100.00	+4.6%	$4.28	🟢 LIVE	4.47%	58.3%	58%	234
2026-09-25	42	$100.00	+4.6%	$5.68	🟢 LIVE	5.94%	51.6%	58%	171

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 15/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $100 is 14.9% below 60d high $118 — could be tested on a rally.

MSFT · spot $495.40

MSFT: long candidate (composite +0.15). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.1)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +17.9% − sector +7.4% = +10.5% (leader)); insider_trades - (90d net $-7267k (0 buys/2 sells)); dividend + (div yield 103.0%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.15 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$506.06 (-2.1% from spot)
52-week high	$538.66 (-8.0% from spot)
20-day realized vol	61%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	26%
IV-rank vs 1y	36 / 100 (mid)
IV / RV ratio	0.43 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-10-28 (75d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$520.00	+5.0%	$1.72	🟢 LIVE	0.35%	9.0%	24%	3,910
2026-09-11	28	$520.00	+5.0%	$4.55	🟢 LIVE	0.92%	12.0%	25%	359
2026-09-25	42	$520.00	+5.0%	$7.72	🟢 LIVE	1.56%	13.6%	26%	194

Recommendation:

➡ Sell 2026-09-25 $520 for 14% ann. yield (composite +0.15, IV-rank 36).
📍 Strike $520 sits at/above 60d high $506 — buffer in resistance.

PLTR · spot $174.04

PLTR: long candidate (composite +0.13). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.5)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +26.9% − sector +7.4% = +19.5% (leader)); insider_trades - (90d net $-8095k (0 buys/10 sells)); vix_regime + (VIX 14 (low), β=1.5).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.13 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$179.01 (-2.8% from spot)
52-week high	$207.18 (-16.0% from spot)
20-day realized vol	121%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	46%
IV-rank vs 1y	28 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.38 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-11-02 (80d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$182.50	+4.9%	$2.68	🟢 LIVE	1.54%	40.1%	43%	750
2026-09-11	28	$182.50	+4.9%	$5.05	🟢 LIVE	2.90%	37.8%	45%	63
2026-09-25	42	$182.50	+4.9%	$7.32	🟢 LIVE	4.21%	36.6%	47%	144

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 28/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $182 sits at/above 60d high $179 — buffer in resistance.

CRWV · spot $105.26

CRWV: long candidate (composite +0.01). Drivers: market_regime + (bull-quiet (SPY 776, 50MA 749, RV30 12%, β=1.0)); search_interest - (7d avg 24 vs 90d 33 (-28%)); insider_trades - (90d net $-51126k (0 buys/54 sells)); momentum + (6-mo return +47.7%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.01 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance)	$124.82 (-15.7% from spot)
52-week high	$143.08 (-26.4% from spot)
20-day realized vol	146%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	77%
IV-rank vs 1y	5 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.53 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-11-11 (89d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-28	14	$110.00	+4.5%	$4.35	🟢 LIVE	4.13%	107.7%	77%	2,334
2026-09-11	28	$110.00	+4.5%	$6.85	🟢 LIVE	6.51%	84.8%	76%	386
2026-09-25	42	$110.00	+4.5%	$9.23	🟢 LIVE	8.76%	76.2%	79%	233

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 5/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $110 is 11.9% below 60d high $125 — could be tested on a rally.

Portfolio aggregate

Aggregate	Value
Avg 30-day annualized yield	47.1%
Median IV-rank	44 / 100
Names with IV-rank > 60 (premium rich)	5 / 19
Names with IV-rank < 30 (premium thin)	5 / 19
Names with IV/RV > 1.1 (positive edge)	4 / 19
Names within 14 days of earnings	3 / 19